On Tuesday, Tottenham will travel to Italy to face AC Milan in the first leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie, hoping to put their mixed domestic form behind them. Although the Serie A title holders have lost four of their last five matches in the league, they come into the game after a weekend win against Torino. Meanwhile, Tottenham will make a trip to a stadium that has fond memories for their fans, having played in the famous San Siro twice in the 2010/11 season, including a famous last 16 win against Tuesday's opponents.
Despite Tottenham's recent success in reaching a Champions League final, Milan will be seen as almost equal opponents, with statisticians FiveThirtyEight giving them a 35% chance of winning, compared to Tottenham's 40%, while a draw is rated at 24%. However, Tottenham will be the favorites for the entire tie, with a 53% chance of winning the second leg and a 64% chance of progressing to the quarter-finals.
According to the website's probability metrics, two overwhelming favorites have emerged in the tournament, with Bayern Munich (23%) and Manchester City (21%) being backed as having the strongest chance of winning. Meanwhile, Tottenham has only been given a 4% chance of emerging victorious and ranks as the tenth team.
Spurs will face a crisis in midfield as Rodrigo Bentancur and Yves Bissouma are injured and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg is suspended. Goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is also sidelined, which might pose a challenge for the team. Nonetheless, Tottenham will be determined to put their domestic troubles behind them and secure a positive result in Italy to progress to the quarter-finals of the Champions League.
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